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This is an evolving story.
June 02, 2025, Ukraine successfully smuggled over 100 FPV short-range drones in trucks into Russia, where they then attacked Russian strategic aviation at several Russian air bases thousands of kilometers from the front lines. The success of the attack is still being assessed, with reports of over 40 aircraft being destroyed.
BBC reported: "Ukraine says it has completed its biggest long-range attack of the war with Russia on Sunday, after using smuggled drones to launch a series of major strikes on at least 40 Russian warplanes at four military bases.
President Volodymyr Zelensky said 117 drones were used in the so-called "Spider's Web" operation by the SBU security service, striking "34% of [Russia's] strategic cruise missile carriers."
We think the real numbers are much lower, perhaps no more than a dozen. Many aircraft will likely be repaired. How the Russians respond to this remains unclear. The Kremlin may decide to recategorize Ukraine as a strategic threat to the Russian nuclear triad. This would spell very bad news for Ukraine.
I'm Sorry but how would it be any worse? Russia is already waging a full scale conventional war with the vast majority of it's assets dedicated to the grind.
ReplyDeleteAnd if Russia nukes Ukraine it could force escalation by NATO to prevent the nuclear Taboo from fully breaking.
Also apparently a couple of AWAC's and several conventional bombers were lost which could degrade Russia's abiltiy to maintain pressure from its bombers.
"34% of the strategic cruise missile carriers in the targeted airports". The number from the total Russian airforce is much lower.
ReplyDeleteApparently an Su-35 just got downed by an F-16.
ReplyDelete